[MD] Choosing Chance
John Carl
ridgecoyote at gmail.com
Fri Jan 22 11:46:39 PST 2010
[Arlo]
> Fair enough. Final comment I'd just like to toss out is to consider it this
> way.
[John]
Will that *really* be your final comment Arlo? I wouldn't even want to
assign a number to *that* probability.
> You can't deny that no matter how unlikely, if for whatever reason in the
> spur of the moment, you *could* choose broccoli ice-cream. The potential is
> there, you simply choose not to act on it. That potential, to me, is
> probability. So long as you have the freedom to choose, some probability
> must exist for each choice. If you eliminate that probability, then there is
> not a choice.
>
[John]
You make your brain sound like a shaker out of which any old random thing
can pop out at any moment. The Laws of Probability don't control your
choices. You do. The laws of probability only describes the choices you
might make. It gives you no guidance or values with which to choose.
Choice is fundamental, probability is just a way of describing and
predicting - inexact sciences.
Furthermore, the way you use "probable" equated with choice makes your last
statement tautological. If choice is just probability, then if we eliminate
probability, we eliminate choice. duh.
To clarify my own position, Choice is fundamental to self, but self is also
a system and any system that doesn't account for randomness is doomed to
fail.
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