[MD] Paradise in cyber space

[Krimel]

-----Original Message-----
From: ian glendinning [mailto:psybertron at gmail.com] 
Sent: Monday, June 11, 2007 9:51 AM
To: moq_discuss at moqtalk.org
Subject: Re: [MD] Paradise in cyber space

Hi Krim,

I think I appreciate that, but I guess I'm saying seeing the
"geometric" acceleration is one thing, but predicting the sort of
dates Kurzweil does is another - probably overlooking additional
complexities like society's "skeptical correctness". My own pet theory
(after Kondratiev and more recently Dawkins memes) is that these
things always take three (human) generations, so long as humans
control the press and the internet, no matter how "fast" the
technology aspects.

Moore's law has hit such limits - there are just so many mp3's and
HDDVD tracks humans can conceive of.

Ian

On 6/11/07, Krimel <Krimel at krimel.com> wrote:
> [Ian]
> Timescales aside, I find Kurzweil's predictions hype. What it does
> show is that evolution is needed to explain life and intellgence, and
> that complex adaptive systems are needed to achieve it. Oh look, we
> are one.
>
> [Krimel]
> Kurzweil addresses this, claiming that the process of evolution itself has
> followed the path of accelerating returns. He claims that as complexity
> proceeds time speeds up and that the process of evolution has followed a
> geometric pattern of acceleration. Moore's law he claims is an extension
of
> this.
>
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