[MD] Chance

David M davidint at blueyonder.co.uk
Wed May 14 15:03:51 PDT 2008


Hi Ian/Krim

Yes, more like pushes and pulls than any patterns
really being DETERMINED. Even controlled experiments
struggle to create the unnatural cases of 100% probability.

David M

> Precisely Marsha, Krim,
>
> And of course causation's not all one-way- there are arisings and
> there are downdrafts - there is no cut-off.
>
> Ian
>
> On Tue, May 13, 2008 at 9:42 AM, MarshaV <marshalz at charter.net> wrote:
>> At 05:54 PM 5/12/2008, you wrote:
>> > Ian
>> > Chance is no more weird than causation itself - which isn't saying 
>> > much.
>> >
>> > [Krimel]
>> > Perhaps that is because causation is a special case where the chances 
>> > are
>> > 100%.
>> >
>> > But, I think that says a lot.
>> >
>> >
>>
>> Hi Krimel,
>>
>> This certain effect was caused by that cause?  Or all those causes?  And
>> interconnected to all the causes behind them?  And interconnected to all
>> those causes near them?  Causes connected to causes connected to 
>> causes...
>> Where's the cutoff?
>>
>> Marsha
>>
>>
>>
>>
>> Shoot for the moon.  Even if you miss, you'll land among the stars...
>>
>>
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