[MD] Chance

[craigerb at comcast.net]

[Arlo]
> Without "chance" there is no freedom.

I see it the other way (surprise!).  Say I have several shirts: a blue one, a 
red one, a green one, etc.  If I value wearing my blue one today, it is no
freedom for me if I only have a chance of wearing it.  I might as well be
forced to wear what someone else wants me to or have the gods decide
what shirt I will wear.  (A stopped clock is right twice a day.)  I want to be
able to CAUSE my wearing of the blue shirt, not leave it up to CHANCE.

[Krimel]
> we are accustomed to thinking of chains of probability.  what we experience
> is a nest of interwoven chains

But probabilities are just comparisons between two or more events; they don't
affect what happens.  If I roll a die, there is a 1/6 chance/probability that it 
will come up a 3.  But what actually comes up, depends on the initial position
of the die & its trajectory (among other things).  Probability plays no role.
Craig