[MD] Cognitive Biases

[Ian Glendinning]

Seem to remember this topic arising recently (Mel ?) after I had also
mentioned the hindsight view of speciation (emergence of a new
pattern) in evolution (?).

Remember Pirsig on hindsight ...
[Quote] Traditional scientific method has always been at the very best
20-20 hindsight. It's good for seeing where you've been. It's good for
testing the truth of what you think you know, but it can't tell you
where you ought to go. [Unquote] Pisrig ZMM

Anyway this Edge event caught my eye. http://www.edge.org/
11:30 Tuesday, January 27th, Munich

REFLECTIONS ON A CRISIS
Daniel Kahneman & Nassim Nicholas Taleb: A Conversation in Munich
(Moderator: John Brockman)

[Quote] The greatest living psychologist and the foremost scholar of
extreme events discuss hindsight biases, the illusion of patterns,
perception of risk, and denial [Unquote]

Regards
Ian