[MD] Choosing Chance

[craigerb at comcast.net]

[Arlo] > I see "chance" as probability, yes. I contrast this with "certainty". 


. 
'Chance' is what philosophers call a "weasel word"-- 
it changes meaning as you need it to. 
Probability ranges from 0 (impossible) to 100 (certain). 
So "probability cannot contrast with certainty". 
If there is no chance of something, then its probability = 0, 
so probability cannnot be chance either. 
What you need for choice is "logical possibility". 
For me to choose between vanilla & broccoli ice cream, 
it must be logically possible for me to choose broccoli. 
But if I would never choose broccoli, it doesn't mean my 
choice of vanilla is not free. 
Craig