[MD] cloud of probability

Dan Glover daneglover at gmail.com
Tue Jun 14 09:45:17 PDT 2011


Hello everyon

On Tue, Jun 14, 2011 at 2:25 AM, Jan-Anders Andersson
<jananderses at telia.com> wrote:
> Hi Dan,
>
> I think you contradict yourself when you first say that there are no dynamic patterns and then later whine at the U S real estate market.

Dan:

I wasn't aware that I was whining. Thank you for bringing that to my
attention. But I see no contradiction.

>J-A:
> A pattern is something known, it can be static and predictable but there are patterns that are known but not predictable, like the Market which is the firm, steady and reliable base for the worlds economy and so on. Patterns that are definitely NOT static got to be defined as dynamic.

Dan:

The real estate market has Dynamic tendencies, sure. But these are not
patterns. Read dmb's posts to Marsha. Or re-read them. You are missing
something important.

J-A:
 If you can tell how something will be in the next second, then it is
predictable and in a static process. Every businessman shout for a
free and open, unpredictable market but all he does is in practice is
trying to avoid the unpredictable and to close out his competitors. If
the Market were static and predictable, there would not exist
something like risk revenue or true competition. To get a static and
predictable market we would need a planned economy with a fixed rate
of interest which is nothing else than just boring like hell.

Dan:

Now who is whining?

Dan



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